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Autumn and winter are traditionally characterized by the growth in energy consumption and, thus, in prices for energy products. Still, natural gas prices in the US, Europe, and Japan showed different dynamics in November. Thus, the spot price of natural gas at Henry Hub, US, fell by 15.2% in November compared to the previous month. This decline - which was the sharpest monthly drop since December of 2014 - interrupted a period of steady growth lasting from April. On the contrary, in Europe, average import border price of natural gas surged by 14.4% - the most dramatic monthly increase over the last 17 years. What for the import price of liquefied natural gas in Japan, it leveled off at the October's level freezing upward trend which started in June.

Leading international agencies made the following natural gas price predictions during the second half of the previous year:

  • The World Bank in its new commodity forecast for 2020-2025 estimated that the price will continue to rise. That is not contrary to the general trend of rising prices for 2017-2025.
  • The IMF has adjusted its forecasts for the period 2017 to 2025. The latest values exceed the previous forecasts for indicators: Price of Russian Natural gas in Germany (4.5 $/1000 m3 instead of 4 $/1000 m3) and Indonesian Natural gas price in Japan (8.5 $/1000 m3 instead of 7 $/1000 m3) for 2017-2022. The value for the domestic American market fell slightly for the period 2018-2022 (from 3.3 $/1000 m3 to 3 $/1000 m3 ) and increased for 2017 (from 3 $/1000 m3 to 3.4 $/1000 m3).

2015 -2016 years were not successful for the natural gas price. The reason is the same as that for oil's fall which includes a slowdown in the global economy and as result reducing consumption of Natural gas. Perhaps 2017 will be the year of changes for gas prices.

View more energy statistics and visualizations related to energy, including the estimated breakeven cost of oil production by countrynatural gas price dynamics and insights from the BP Energy Outlook 2035, or dive deeper into historical commodity prices from the World Bank and IMF or commodity price forecasts.

You can also explore with Knoema a variety of other critical commodities, including:

gold | silver | copper | aluminum | nickel | zinc | coal | natural gas | crude oil

As you examine commodity prices and forecasts, you may also be interested in economic forecasts for the G20 countries across the following indicators: GDP growth | inflation | unemployment | government debt | current account balance | external debt.

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