The US Deparment of Agriculture's 10-year international projections cover supply, demand, and trade for major agricultural crops and meats for selected countries and global totals. The projections provide foreign-country detail supporting USDA’s long-term projections released in February each year.
According to USDA, over the next several years, the agricultural industry will adjust to lower prices for most farm commodities. Lower prices will likely lead to reductions in planted acerage. Lower feed costs will also provide economic incentives for expansion of livestock production, although increased beef output will be delayed by beef cow inventory and biological factors.
Following those near-term adjustments, long-run developments for global agriculture reflect steady world economic growth and continued global demand for biofuel feedstocks. Those factors combine to support longer-run increases in consumption, trade, and the prices of agricultural products. Reflecting these market adjustments and price projections, the USDA expects export values to decline globally in 2015 and farm cash receipts fall in 2015-16 before both grow over the rest of the projection period.
USDA’s long-term projections are based on a conditional scenario that assumes current US farm legislation will remain in effect through the projection period, there are no shocks to the US or global economies or agricultural industries, and global weather is normal. Specific assumptions also are made for the macroeconomy and other countries’ policies. The projections are prepared in October through December each year, reflecting a composite of model results and judgment-based analysis.
It's a one pager PDF full of live links to agriculture-related data, statistics, and dashboards from leading industry sources. It will be a useful resource for any analyst, business executive, or researcher with an interest in the food security and prices, agricultural production and supply and much more.
Success in any industry resonates differently depending on whether you are producer, consumer, or somewhere in the middle along the production chain as well as your relative position in the market. By some measures, the current yield and market supply of corn and soy can be considered a success. Producers in every region of the world have progressively increased the yields for maize and soy since 1963, with the highest yield per hectre in 2013 for both commodities being in the Americas and lowest in Africa.In 2013, the United States and Brazil were the world's largest producers of soy, with a commanding 62 percent total combined share...